America's top hurricane forecaster is at it again:
William Gray said Friday that global ocean currents, not human-produced carbon dioxide, are responsible for global warming, and the Earth may begin to cool on its own in five to 10 years.The UK Met Office don't agree. They sent out a press release on Friday saying:
Gray, a Colorado State University researcher best known for his annual forecasts of hurricanes along the U.S. Atlantic coast, also said increasing levels of carbon dioxide won't produce more or stronger hurricanes.
He said that over the past 40 years the number of major hurricanes making landfall on the U.S. Atlantic coast has declined even though carbon dioxide levels have risen.
Gray, speaking to a group of Republican state lawmakers, had harsh words for researchers and politicians who say man-made greenhouse gases are responsible for global warming.
"They're blaming it all on humans, which is crazy," he said. "We're not the cause of it."
Records broken as temperatures rise1865, huh? So April 1865 was warmer than in every year since, until this year? The CET figures can be downloaded, so here are some press releases the Met Office didn't issue:
The Central England Temperature (CET) is the world's longest running temperature series and dates back to 1659. April 2007 and the 12-month rolling period ending in April 2007 are set to become the warmest since the records began 348 years ago.
Provisional figure for April 2007: 11.1 °C - beating the previous record of 10.6 °C set in 1865
My point is that while there is a gentle warming trend in their figures, the press releases the Met Office put out are alarmist, and represent a serious distortion of the facts - a distortion by omission. They only seem to release PRs for unusually warm data, giving the impression that's all the data there is.
- January 2007 cooler than 1834, 1921, 1796 and 1916
- February 2007 only 47th warmest since records began
- March 2007 cooler than March 1734 and only 38th warmest
- 2005 cooler than 1733, 1834, 1921, 2004, 1959, 2003, 1989, 1995, 1997, 2002, 1949, 1999 and 1990
- 1986, when warming was supposed to be underway, was only 268th warmest since records began.
They also say:
recent rapid warming of the CET is almost certainly due to human influenceBut they don't point out that the figures are consistent with the view that we're just coming out of the Little Ice Age.
Whatever the case might be for AGW, these distortions are extraordinary. As Tim Blair keeps pointing out, it's a religion:
Visitors to the Gaia Napa Valley Hotel and Spa won’t find the Gideon Bible in the nightstand drawer. Instead, on the bureau will be a copy of “An Inconvenient Truth,” former Vice President Al Gore’s book about global warming.